“Interpreting area under the receiver operating characteristic curve” (2022), by Anne de Hond et al. Mathematics research paper. Original abstract below, unchanged. A free PDF is available.

Interpreting area under the receiver operating characteristic curve

Anne de Hond, Ewout Willem Steyerberg, Ben VAN CALSTER · October 18, 2022 · Mathematics

Abstract

Clinicians often ask biostatisticians to provide a judgement on the quality of a prediction model. The prediction quality can be assessed with different performance criteria, with discriminative ability being a main issue: how well can we separate high-risk from low-risk patients? Discriminative ability is typically quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) when we consider prediction of a binary event.

Free PDF DOI: 10.1016/s2589-7500(22)00188-1