# Projections of global-scale extreme sea levels and resulting episodic coastal flooding over the 21st Century

“Projections of global-scale extreme sea levels and resulting episodic coastal flooding over the 21st Century” (2020), by Ebru Kirezci et al. Earth and Planetary Sciences research paper. Original abstract below, unchanged. A free PDF is available.

- Authors: Ebru Kirezci, Ian Robert Young, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Sanne Muis, Robert J. Nicholls, Daniël Lincke, Jochen Hinkel
- Published: July 30, 2020
- Field: Earth and Planetary Sciences
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67736-6
- Free PDF: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-67736-6.pdf

## Abstract

Global models of tide, storm surge, and wave setup are used to obtain projections of episodic coastal flooding over the coming century. The models are extensively validated against tide gauge data and the impact of uncertainties and assumptions on projections estimated in detail. Global "hotspots" where there is projected to be a significant change in episodic flooding by the end of the century are identified and found to be mostly concentrated in north western Europe and Asia. Results show that for the case of, no coastal protection or adaptation, and a mean RCP8.5 scenario, there will be an increase of 48% of the world's land area, 52% of the global population and 46% of global assets at risk of flooding by 2100. A total of 68% of the global coastal area flooded will be caused by tide and storm events with 32% due to projected regional sea level rise.

Canonical page: https://nerdi.pages.dev/paper/W3046153628
Read three real papers a day in Nerdi (iPhone): https://apps.apple.com/app/apple-store/id6813826387?pt=128757794&ct=web-paper&mt=8